UN Expert Says Most of World Lacks Real Religious Freedom

Three-quarters of the world’s people live in countries that either restrict the right to religion or belief or have “a high level of social hostility involving religion or belief,” the U.N. special investigator on religious rights said Tuesday.

Ahmed Shaheed told the General Assembly’s human rights committee that religious intolerance is prevalent globally – and rising around the world.

He said over 70 countries currently have anti-blasphemy laws that can be used to suppress dissenting views, in violation of international human rights standards.

Shaheed, a former politician and human rights expert from the Maldives, urged those countries to repeal the blasphemy laws.

He also called for the repeal of all laws that undermine the exercise of the right to freedom of religion or belief – or discriminate against that right.

Shaheed urged countries to adopt and enforce “adequate criminal sanctions penalizing violent and particularly egregious discriminatory acts perpetrated by state or non-state actors against persons based on their religion or belief.”

He said governments must also pay “particular attention” to uphold the obligation to protect religious minorities.

“Increases in unlawful government restrictions against religious groups remain one of the primary and most fundamental factors resulting in higher levels of religious intolerance in any given society,” Shaheed said.

Some forms of discrimination are direct, such as prohibiting some or all religions or beliefs, he said. But others may be indirect, like zoning laws that prevent construction of certain houses of worship or bans on refugees or immigrants, “ostensibly for national security reasons, from countries where majority populations belong to particular faith communities,” he said.

The special investigator, or rapporteur, on freedom of religion or belief is an independent expert appointed by the Geneva-based U.N. Human Rights Council. Shaheed previously served for almost six years as special rapporteur on the human rights situation in Iran.

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AP Source: Clinton Camp Helped Fund Trump Dossier Research

Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign and the Democratic National Committee helped fund a political research firm that produced a dossier of allegations about President Donald Trump’s ties to Russia.

That’s according to a person familiar with the situation who spoke Tuesday evening to The Associated Press. The person spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss confidential client matters.

The person says the arrangement, first reported by The Washington Post, was coordinated by a lawyer for the campaign and the DNC and his law firm. That lawyer, Marc Elias, did not immediately return an email seeking comment Tuesday.

The person says the political research firm, Fusion GPS, had approached Elias and his law firm, Perkins Coie, about doing continued research into Trump’s international business connections.

Representatives for Fusion GPS declined to comment.

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Serbian Defense Chief Slams US Diplomat for ‘Hostile’ Remarks

Serbia’s defense minister on Tuesday criticized remarks by the top U.S. diplomat in the region, who recently called on Belgrade to choose between aligning itself with either Washington and Brussels or Moscow if it intends to secure European Union status.

Addressing Serbian news outlets, Defense Minister Aleksandar Vulin, who has been known to advocate a pro-Russian stance, said comments by U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary for European and Eurasian Affairs Hoyt Brian Yee represent “the greatest pressure against Serbia yet.”

The “statement was not made by a friend or a person respecting Serbia, respecting our right to decide independently,” Vulin said, calling Yee’s remarks “very undiplomatic.”

It was late Monday when Yee, speaking at the Serbian Economic Summit in Belgrade, said EU candidate countries should clearly demonstrate their desire to become members, and not seesaw between two sides.

Calling the U.S. Serbia’s partner on the country’s path toward the EU membership, “the EU hopefuls should clearly demonstrate that they really want to become members,” Yee said. “You cannot sit on two chairs, especially if those chairs are too far apart.”

Among the six Western Balkan countries aiming to join the EU — Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia, Bosnia, Kosovo and Albania — Serbia may be closest to securing membership. Still recovering from a decade of wars and economic turmoil in the 1990s, however, Serbia also maintains unusually close ties with Russia.

Serbia received MIG-29 jet fighters as a “gift” from Russian president Vladimir Putin just days ago.

Yee expressed concerns that Serbia has turned only halfway toward the EU, and the other half toward Russia, adding “that countries should pick one side regardless of how difficult that might be.”

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic’s office said that during a meeting Tuesday, the U.S. envoy expressed “perception that Serbia is with one foot on an EU path, and another in a union with Russia.”

Vucic’s office later issued a statement saying the president carefully listened to Yee’s concerns and responded to his remarks “very directly.”

“[Vucic] will make his answer public in the coming days,” the statement said.

Jaksa Scekic, a Belgrade-based pundit and journalist who has covered Balkan affairs for more than three decades, called the statement “mixed,” adding that it was “probably the best sign that it was a joint product with opinions from both sides.”

“Serbia has been playing this game for a while now and this is nothing new,” Scekic told VOA’s Serbian Service. “The country risks staying in isolation and it has to decide. Usually after harsh rhetoric, we will probably see gifts and bribes coming from all sides. We will have to wait and see which gift Serbia will take.”

Under pressure from its historic Slavic ally Russia, Serbia, like some of its Balkan neighbors, has been pressured by Russia to stay out of NATO and other Western bodies.

“It is clear from Russia’s actions that it wants to have disjointed Balkans, not strong and united,” Yee said.

This story originated in VOA’s Serbian Service. Some information is from AP.

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Russia Vetoes UN Resolution to Extend Syria Gas Attacks Probe

Russia used its U.N. veto Tuesday to block a resolution extending the mandate of the investigators probing chemical weapons attacks in Syria.

In a Security Council vote, 11 countries supported extending the mission for another year, while Russia and Bolivia voted against the measure, and China and Kazakhstan abstained.

The investigating team, known as the Joint Investigative Mechanism or JIM, is expected to make public a report on Thursday that could identify the party responsible for a deadly April 4 attack in the rebel-controlled town of Khan Sheikhoun in southern Idlib that killed and sickened scores of civilians.

Three days later, the United States launched an airstrike on a Syrian air base which Washington accused the regime of Bashar al-Assad of having used to launch the poison gas attack.

Accountability

While the question of whether sarin or a sarin-like substance is not disputed, who used it still has to be officially confirmed, and it is anticipated the JIM’s report could shed light on the matter.

It would be politically embarrassing for Russia, a staunch ally of President Assad, if evidence shows that the regime — and not, for example, Islamic State militants — are responsible for the attack. In Syria, the government is the only party to the conflict that possesses air capabilities. Russia has previously suggested that the gas was released from a bomb on the ground and not in the air.

Russia’s U.N. envoy, Vassily Nebenzia, first sought to postpone Tuesday’s vote through a procedural measure until after the release of the JIM’s report, saying the hastily-called vote was an effort by Washington to embarrass Moscow.

“You need to show up Russia and show that Russia is guilty of not extending the JIM, in fact you are the one who is begging for confrontation,” Nebenzia said of the U.S. delegation, which drafted the text and pushed for the vote.

While the procedural vote had the support of China, Kazakhstan and Bolivia, it fell short of the required eight-vote majority and failed to prevent the other vote going ahead, forcing Russia to use its veto.

Eighth veto on Syria

“I want to underscore that today’s voting is senseless also, because it won’t have any impact on the future of the JIM,” Nebenzia said after casting his veto — the eighth time Russia has done so on Syria. “We will return to the issue of extension in the future — we have not stopped it.”

The mission’s mandate does not expire until November 16, so the council has three weeks to approve an extension without disrupting the team’s work, as happened last year when consensus could not be reached on the JIM’s extension.

“The question we must ask ourselves is, whether the JIM is being attacked because it has failed in its job to determine the truth in Syria, or because its conclusions have been politically inconvenient for some council members,” said U.S. envoy Michele Sison.

“Russia called for the formation of the JIM, they negotiated its terms, they agreed its mission, and yet when faced with the prospect of the JIM revealing the truth, why has Russia alone chosen to shoot the messenger?” asked British Ambassador Matthew Rycroft.

Some diplomats said the move for the vote now was intended to avoid politicizing whatever conclusions the report draws and avoiding having them affect votes for the extension.

All council members expressed the hope that they could return to the issue and reach consensus on extending the JIM’s mandate before it expires next month.

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Turkey Puts More Rights Advocates on Trial, Raising International Concerns

A trial begins in Istanbul Wednesday for eleven prominent human rights activists, including two foreign nationals, in a case that is drawing criticism from international human rights organizations who say it is part of a campaign by the government of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to silence criticism and scrutiny in Turkey in the wake of last year’s coup attempt.  

The defendants face prison sentences of up to 15 years in prison.

Amnesty International’s chairman in Turkey, Taner Kilic, and Idil Eser, Amnesty International’s Turkey director, are among those on trial. The case centers on a digital security seminar that was held on Buyukada, an island on the Sea of Marmara near  Istanbul, that focused on security and coping with stress. In a 15-page indictment, prosecutors allege the meeting was part of a conspiracy to unseat the government by inciting civil unrest

“It’s a completely baseless case, there is not a shred of evidence,” said Andrew Gardner, Amnesty International’s Turkey researcher. “It’s an attempt to scare and silence human rights civil society. That’s why Turkey’s most prominent human rights defenders and human rights organizations have been swept up in this case,” he said.

Key members of the Helsinki Citizens Assembly, one of Turkey’s most respected and oldest human rights groups, are among those on trial Tuesday.

Erdogan has vigorously defended the charges against the activists, portraying the case as an example that no one is above the law and evidence that Turkey faces a threat by international conspirators and unidentified countries following the failed coup. Erdogan on Tuesday lashed out at EU nations whose leaders have been critical of his crackdown and what they see as tightening controls on free speech.   “We expect European leaders to stop targeting Turkey and to return to common sense,” the Turkish leader said at an event in the capital, Ankara, on Monday.  

Mounting tensions with Europe

Tuesday’s trial is likely to further ratchet up tensions between Turkey and Europe. Two of the defendants are European nationals:  Swedish national Ali Gharavri and German Peter Steudtner, both of whom were giving seminars at the meeting where the human rights advocates were arrested.  German Chancellor Angela Merkel has strongly criticized the arrests, saying “Innocent people are caught up in the wheels of justice,” in Turkey.”

“Linking the work of Steudtner and other human rights activists, who are on trial with him, to the support of terrorism, to imprison and prosecute them, is highly absurd,” wrote European Parliamentarian Rebecca Harms in a statement released Tuesday. “The arbitrary detention of foreign citizens in Turkey proves to be more and more a measure by which the Turkish leadership wants to pressure the home countries of those concerned,” she said.

Under emergency rule introduced last year following the botched military coup, more than 50,000 people have been arrested and 150,000 others have lost their jobs.

Critics point to what they see as a lack of evidence to justify many of the prosecutions.

“If you look at the evidence, for example, against Idil Eser, Amnesty International’s director, it’s all to do with an Amnesty International campaign and public documents,” said Gardner. “The prosecutors have had three months of investigations to come up with evidence against human rights defenders and came up with nothing.”

Among the evidence against the defendants is a Tweet telling participants to turn off their phones and “enjoy the boat ride” to the island where the seminar was being held.

Courts as intimidation tool

There is a growing suspicion among observers that the trial is part of a campaign to intimidate wider civil society.

“The arrests of the human rights activists, I think, gives us a very bleak picture of the Turkish civic society, or what the regime means by ‘civic society,'” observes political scientist Cengiz Aktar. “It’s not very different from what we see in Russia, completely curtailed and diminished.”

Tuesday’s prosecution of human rights advocates comes amid a rash of arrests and trials of journalists. Media freedom groups have dubbed Turkey the world’s worst jailor of journalists, claiming more than 150 reporters are imprisoned.

On Tuesday, six more journalists went on trial for reporting on leaked emails that allegedly were written by Berat Albayrak, son-in-law of President Erdogan, and Turkey’s energy minister. The emails are considered to be in the public domain, yet observers note the journalists are being prosecuted for publishing state secrets.

The clampdown on media and freedom of expression is drawing further condemnation among Europeans already skeptical of Turkey’s readiness to continue its bid to some day join the EU.

“There cannot be an effective political debate when journalists cannot report or question political leaders without fear of harassment or arrest,” said Tanja Fajon, a Slovenian politician with the Social Democrats and member of the European Parliament. “As Turkey’s political situation worsens, it remains imperative to offer support to, and speak about, those imprisoned for their journalism.”

 

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Aid Group Halts Sea Rescues in Mediterranean

The international aid group Save the Children is suspending its efforts to rescue migrants making the dangerous Mediterranean Sea crossing from Libya.

Tuesday, the organization said the combination of falling numbers of crossings and worsening security forced it to stop sending its ship, the Vos Hestia, out from its port in Italy.

Save the Children said the ship rescued as many as 10,000 migrants over the past year after the smugglers’ vessels they were in foundered at sea.

The announcement comes just a day after Italian authorities searched the Vos Hestia as part of Rome’s efforts to deter people smuggling across the Mediterranean. Save the Children said the decision to suspend operations wasn’t related to the search and it told journalists that Italian prosecutors had given assurances it is not under investigation. It seems the search might be linked, however, to crew members on the boat.

In August, police seized a boat operated by a German aid organization, saying there was evidence some people smugglers escorted migrants to that boat. Save the Children says it has nothing to do with that case.

Save the Children was one of the first aid groups to sign a voluntary code of conduct with the Italian government to ensure they aren’t colluding with or encouraging smuggling.

The number of arriving migrants is down about 25 percent so far this year from last year, to around 110,000. And the drop will get worse as the winter closes in. Very few rescue boats are heading out into the Mediterranean now because of falling need.

Tens of thousands of migrants from Africa, the Middle East and elsewhere have struggled to sail from Libya to Italy over the past few years. Hundreds of thousands of migrants have also trekked through Turkey to Europe.

Thousands have died in the sea crossing, prompting both rescue efforts by private aid groups and efforts by the Italian government to staunch the flow.

Rome, with the EU’s backing, has helped Libya with efforts to police its vast desert land borders and to patrol its coast to prevent migrants from entering.

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Kenyans Brace for Re-run of Presidential Election

After Kenya’s Supreme Court nullified the country’s presidential election results six weeks ago, the East African nation has been careening down the path to a re-run that has further inflamed political tensions ahead of Thursday’s vote. VOA’s Jill Craig reports from Nairobi.

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Not So Cold Duck? Man Keeps Looking for Bird Thought Extinct

Hope is the thing with feathers, poet Emily Dickinson wrote. For Richard Thorns, the feathers are pink.

 

Thorns’ hope? To prove that a colorful duck is not extinct. This week, he launches a seventh expedition into the inaccessible wilds of Myanmar to search for the pink-headed duck that hasn’t been seen alive since 1949, and that was in India. No one has seen the bird alive in Myanmar in more than a century.

 

Thorns, a British writer who quit his shop clerk job 20 years ago after reading about the pink-headed duck in the book “Vanishing Birds,” has spent $20,000 of his own money on previous fruitless trips. His birder brother called him mad.

 

“I could have had a lot of nice things,”  the 53-year-old said. “I don’t want nice things. I want to see a pink-headed duck.”

 

This time, he is backed by the Global Wildlife Conservation group, which launched a hunt for “lost species” — 25 quirky and elusive plants and animals beginning with the duck. A sports optic company and cheesemaking company are also helping pay.

 

Thorns and three others plan to head to the wetlands north of the vast Indawgyi Lake during the rainy season where they believe they have a better chance of spotting the duck. And Thorn thinks he has a secret weapon: elephants.

 

He used canoes in the past and thinks he probably spooked the shy birds. Now he plans to bring elephants stomping through the wetlands.

 

“Clearly a bird isn’t going to hunker down if there are 2-ton elephants,” said Thorn.

 

As crazy as it may seem, Thorns may be onto something, said ornithologist Kevin McGowan at Cornell University who isn’t part of the expedition.

 

“Fairly regularly birds get rediscovered,” says McGowan, who has gone on unsuccessful expeditions for the ivory-billed woodpecker. “We don’t see all the world that is in front of our eyes.”

 

A Cornell student found Bermuda petrels, rare seabirds thought to be extinct for 300 years. Other rediscovered animals include a crow species in Asia and a nocturnal parrot in Australia. These birds survive by not being noticed “so what’s your certainty that it’s gone?” said McGowan.

 

One thing that keeps Thorns going is the thought that someone else might find the pink-headed duck first.

 

Every time he goes out, the bird “breaks my heart,” he said. “Sometimes I wish I hadn’t seen that picture.”

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Tiger Woods Set to Enter Plea Bargain for DUI Arrest

The diversion program for intoxicated drivers that Tiger Woods is expected to enter Wednesday is one of several across the U.S. aimed at reducing the number of repeat offenders and backlogs of court cases.

 

The 41-year-old Woods is scheduled to plead guilty at a court hearing to reckless driving, a less severe charge than driving under the influence, as part of a Palm Beach County, Florida, program that has graduated almost 2,500 first-time offenders since it began four years ago.

 

Deputy State Attorney Richard Clausi, who oversees the county’s misdemeanor prosecutions, said that less than 1 percent of the program’s participants have reoffended. He said the key has been getting offenders to take responsibility for their actions without requiring a trial and making sure they complete the program.

“It’s still early, but we think it has been a success,” he said.

 

In the diversion program, Woods will spend a year on probation and pay a $250 fine and court costs. He also must attend DUI school, perform 20 hours of community service and attend a workshop where victims of impaired drivers detail how their lives were damaged. Since he was intoxicated with prescription drugs and marijuana, according to court records, he will also be required to undergo regular drug tests.

 

At the hearing, he must show he has started the program. If he completes it, he can ask a judge to expunge the reckless driving conviction, but if he is charged again, he could be treated like a second-time DUI offender. He would not be again eligible for diversion and he could face possible jail time, a mandatory license suspension and stiffer fines.

 

Similar DUI diversion programs are offered in several other states, including Georgia, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Texas. Details vary and some, like Florida, let local officials decide whether to offer it.

 

Neither the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration nor Mothers Against Drunk Driving (MADD) knew of any recent outside studies examining whether diversion programs are effective.

 

J.T. Griffin, MADD’s chief government affairs officer, said the organization supports diversion programs like Palm Beach County’s because for drunken drivers, it requires the installation of an interlock device, which checks the driver’s blood-alcohol content before the car can be started. He said studies show interlocks decrease recidivism among first-time offenders by 65 percent.

 

“It is good for the public because 50 to 75 percent of drunk drivers are going to continue to drive, even on a suspended driver’s license,” Griffin said. “With an ignition interlock, they can keep driving but in a safe way and the hope is that they will learn their lesson.”

 

Woods was arrested about 2 a.m. May 29 when officers found him unconscious in his Mercedes-Benz, which was parked awkwardly on the roadside and had damage to the driver’s side. It’s not clear how he damaged the car. Officers checked the area but didn’t find that he had hit anything. He was about 15 miles from his home.

 

Woods had the active ingredient for marijuana, two painkillers – Vicodin and Dilaudid – the sleep drug Ambien and the anti-anxiety drug Xanax in his system but no alcohol, according to a toxicology report released in August.

 

Woods issued a statement in August saying he had been self-medicating for pain caused by his fourth back surgery and insomnia. He did not specifically address the marijuana issue. None was found in his possession.

 

“I realize now it was a mistake to do this without medical assistance,” Woods said then. He completed a drug treatment program in July.

 

Woods’ attorney, Douglas Duncan, did not respond to phone calls and emails seeking comment about Wednesday’s hearing.

 

The DUI arrest was the first time Woods had been in trouble since Thanksgiving weekend 2009, when he plowed his SUV into a tree and a fire hydrant outside his then-Windermere, Florida, home. That led to revelations that he had multiple extramarital affairs, and a divorce from his wife Elin Nordegren, the mother of his two children. He spent 45 days in a Mississippi clinic where he was treated for sex addiction.

 

Woods’ 79 PGA Tour victories and 14 major titles both rank No. 2 all-time. He has not competed since February because of his back injury and is not expected to return this year. His last win was in August 2013.

 

Woods has said his back is improving. Even though he has been a non-factor on the PGA Tour, Forbes Magazine lists Woods as the 17th best-paid athlete in the world in 2017, making $37 million, almost exclusively from endorsements.

 

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Study: NYC Could See Bad Flooding Every 5 Years

Within the next three decades, floods that used to strike the New York City area only once every 500 years could occur every five years, according to a new scientific study released just days before the fifth anniversary of Superstorm Sandy.

 

The study, performed by researchers at several universities and published Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, primarily blames the predicted change on sea-level rise caused by global warming.

 

“This is kind of a warning,” said Andra Garner, a Rutgers University scientist and study co-author. “How are we going to protect our coastal infrastructure?”

 

The researchers based their analysis on multiple models that factored in predictions for sea level rise and possible changes in the path of future hurricanes.

Many of the models had a dose of good news for the nation’s largest city: Climate changes may mean that storms are more violent, but are also likely to swing further off-shore, meaning storm surge heights aren’t likely to increase substantially through 2300.

 

However, rising sea levels could mean that floods of 7.4 feet (2.25 meters) or more that struck the New York city area roughly once every 500 years before 1800, and which occur roughly every 25 years now, could happen once every five years between 2030 and 2045.

 

Researchers made no recommendations on what public officials or others should do to prepare.

 

“The idea is this kind of study we hope will provide information that people making those kinds of decisions can use,” Garner said. “We know that when Sandy hit in 2012, of course, subways, tunnels flooded, power was knocked out, parts of the city were just really devastated so studies like this provide some warning.”

 

Other researchers included scientists from Penn State University, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Princeton University, Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, the University of Massachusetts Amherst and the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

 

The researchers said there is scientific consensus that global sea level will rise in the coming centuries, although it is not certain how high. They cautioned that sea-level rise at New York City could exceed 8 feet by the end of the century if, in a high-emissions future, the West Antarctic ice sheet rapidly melts.

 

The study expects about 5 inches to 11 inches (12.7 centimeters to 27.9 centimeters) of sea-level rise likely in New York City between 2000 and 2030.

The study examined sea level rise through the year 2300.

 

“I think the study is valid, but year 2300 is a long way off,” said Billy Sweet, an oceanographer for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration who was not involved in it. “What is more certain is the amount of sea level rise likely to occur in the next 50 to 100 years or so and that storm surges from nor’easters and hurricanes will continue to pose a risk for New York City.”

 

Hurricane Sandy merged with two other weather systems into an unusual storm that devastated the oceanfront coastline and caused catastrophic flooding in New York and cities in New Jersey on Oct. 29, 2012. It was blamed for at least 182 deaths and $65 billion in damage in the U.S.

 

State and city officials in New York say they are planning numerous projects to guard against future flooding, including fortifying utilities and transit facilities, and note other projects are still in the design stage.

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No Clear Answers After US Denied Entry to Top Indonesian General

The uproar over Indonesia’s top military general being denied entry to the U.S. has thrown the countries’ bilateral relations relations into the spotlight.

General Gatot Nurmantyo was denied boarding onto an Emirates flight to Washington Saturday at Jakarta’s Soekarno-Hatta airport as he prepared to attend a counter-extremism conference this week at the invitation of his American counterpart, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Joseph F. Dunford, Jr.

The U.S. ambassador and deputy ambassador to Indonesia both apologized for the incident, which appeared to have been the result of a security screening glitch.

But the diplomatic damage had already been inflicted. Gatot chose not to travel on a rebooked flight after he was denied boarding on Saturday evening. By the next day, anti-America signs had started popping up around Jakarta.

“The U.S. Embassy was, and remains, prepared to facilitate the General’s travel to the United States,” it said in a statement. “We remain committed to our strategic partnership with Indonesia as a way to deliver security and prosperity to both our nations and peoples.”

But Indonesia’s Foreign Ministry said the apology did not go far enough. “This issue is very important and we are trying to continue to insist that the U.S. immediately give an explanation,” said Minister Retno Marsudi. The Jakarta Post’s editorial board has called it a “diplomatic scandal” and said the embassy’s response reflects “outstanding ignorance of the gravity of the incident.”

It will also likely burnish the public image and nationalist credentials of Gatot, a freewheeling general who has frequently clashed with current President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo and may be eyeing political office  himself in 2019.

Unforced error

“The incident certainly wouldn’t hurt Gatot’s image. In fact, politically speaking, it has certainly boosted his profile,” said Evan Laksmana, a researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Jakarta. “It has now become a domestic political issue, as most parties and politicians are effectively siding with him in demanding an explanation from the US, claiming that the incident insulted Indonesia, and so forth.”

“That said, he has been laying relatively low in the past 48 hours, leaving the military spokesperson to do the talking,” said Laksmana. “This suggests at the very least that he knows how the incident could quickly become a political issue.” Gatot broke his silence on Tuesday to tell reporters that Indonesian President Joko Widodo had told him he no longer needed to travel to America to attend the conference on Indonesia’s behalf.

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security said General Gatot’s office was warned of potential delays due to security issues, and there has been speculation  that he incited the incident to increase his public standing.

“Gatot’s rejection of the chance to visit the U.S. has the effect of upsetting the White House while showing his courage in putting the U.S. on the spot to his admirers in Indonesia,” said Arbi Sanit, a political scientist at the University of Indonesia.

Military relations

The incident comes at the heels of a major release of declassified U.S. Embassy files on the 1965-66 mass killings in Indonesia that were received coolly by the Indonesian defense establishment.

It also comes during a restive time for the Indonesian military, which has been asserting its cultural capital in recent months with what some experts believe  are eyes on the 2019 presidential election. Jokowi is the first Indonesian president without military ties.

Military relations between the U.S. and Indonesia, which were strong during the Suharto dictatorship, were scaled back in the 1990’s during the East Timor independence conflict. But President Obama resumed  financial aid and training for Indonesian forces in 2010.

Fraying  ties

The Indonesian Army’s official Twitter account posted a quote from the first president, Sukarno, on Monday, that said, “If you are looking for a leader, look for one who is hated or feared by foreigners, because,” he Tweeted, “such a leader will defend you from foreign interests.”

There has been a powerful wave of nationalism across Indonesia in recent years, from diplomacy to nationalizing its vast natural resources. Sukarno himself famously helped to found the Non-Aligned Movement during the Cold War.

The impact of the Gatot affair will become more clear in coming days as more statements are issued from both governments.

“But the lack of clarity from the American side, not to mention the manner in which the denial was delivered via Emirates Airlines, will almost ensure this incident remains a potent political issue, putting Jokowi in a tough spot,” said Laksmana. “If he doesn’t respond forcefully, then he could be painted as yet another foreign agent.”

 

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Tillerson to Press Pakistani Leaders for More Action Against Militants

U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is visiting Pakistan Tuesday to meet with leaders and reinforce the Trump administration’s message that they need to take more action against the Taliban and other militant groups based in the country.

“Pakistan needs to, I think, take a clear-eyed view of the situation that they’re confronted with in terms of the number of terrorist organizations that find safe have inside of Pakistan,” Tillerson said during an earlier stop in Afghanistan.

He said the U.S. relationship with Pakistan will be based on how Pakistan acts, and that the goal is to create the opportunity for peace and stability both there and in Afghanistan.

Pakistan has acknowledged that it has some influence with the Taliban, but says it does not control the movement or its leaders.

Multi-nation tour

Tillerson is on a multi-nation tour that included previously unannounced stops Monday in Iraq to meet with Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and in Afghanistan, where he discussed the new U.S. strategy for South Asia with Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and other senior officials at Bagram airbase, outside of Kabul.

“I think the U.S. has made it clear in terms of our support for Afghanistan, support for a sovereign, unified, and democratic Afghanistan, charting a path to peace, prosperity, and self-reliance. It is imperative at the end that we are denying safe haven to any terrorist organizations or any extremists to any part of this world, “Tillerson said.

Ghani said the new U.S. strategy brought a positive change in the region and added, “all stakeholders should carry out their responsibilities sincerely,” according to the statement from the presidential palace.

 

The United States and Afghanistan have long alleged the Afghan Taliban, particularly their deadliest arm the Haqqani network, has safe havens in Pakistan. But Islamabad claims it has cleared out all militant safe havens in previously lawless tribal areas bordering Afghanistan through a military operation.

Hostage release

 

Last week, American Caitlan Coleman and her Canadian husband Joshua Boyle, who were kidnapped in Afghanistan five years ago, were rescued, along with their three children born in captivity, from the Haqqani network in Pakistan’s Kurram Agency bordering Afghanistan. The rescue operation was carried out by the Pakistan military on an intelligence tip from the United States.

 

CIA Director Mike Pompeo told a Washington-based group, the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, the couple was held in Pakistan for the entire length of their captivity.

 

This contradicted earlier statements by Pakistan’s military and government that the couple was recently moved across the border from Afghanistan.

Secretary Tillerson’s Afghanistan trip was kept a secret due to security concerns, especially after an attack last month on Kabul airport during a visit by U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis. Even many in the State Department press corps were expecting the visit to take place Thursday, on the way back from India.

 

India-Pakistan relations

Relations between India and Pakistan, almost always on a rollercoaster in their 70-year history of independence from the British, seem to be in a downward spiral for the past two years. Both sides used harsh words against each other in the recent U.N. General Assembly in New York, accusing each other of human rights abuses or supporting terrorism.

 

The tensions between the two countries may also be a topic of discussion when the Secretary arrives in New Delhi.

 

“The possibility of an India-Pakistan dialogue will be discussed, and Mr. Tillerson will also brief his Indian counterparts on the outcome of the Quadrilateral Coordination Group [U.S.-China-Afghanistan-Pakistan] meeting on talks with Taliban that took place in Oman on October 16,” a source familiar with the planning for the visit told Indian English language daily The Hindu.

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Dunford: Families of Soldiers Killed in Niger Deserve Quick, Accurate Investigation

The chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff says the families of the four U.S. soldiers killed in Niger deserve a quick and accurate investigation.

Marine General Joseph Dunford spoke to reporters Monday as the Trump administration strives to clear up the still murky details of just what happened on during the October 3rd operation.

Dunford acknowledged that many questions are still unanswered and even the Pentagon does not know exactly what happened and why. He said the probe is also geared toward learning lessons.

The general said the initial assessment is that the U.S. forces were ambushed by local tribal fighters associated with Islamic State.

One question still to be answered is why it took an hour for U.S. forces to call for backup after they first encountered the enemy and why it took another hour for French fighters jets to show up.

“I make no judgement as to how long it took them to ask for support. I don’t know that they thought they needed support prior to that time, I don’t know how this attack unfolded. I don’t know what their initial assessment was of what they were confronted with,” the general said.

Dunford also said under the rules of engagement in Niger, U.S. forces only accompany Niger forces when the “chances of enemy, contact are unlikely.”

Other questions that need a thorough investigation include whether the U.S. had adequate intelligence and an accurate assessment of the threat in the area — and why did it take two days to recover the body of Sergeant La David Johnson.

General Dunford says he will have to “redouble” his efforts to get answers to Congress and to Johnson’s family. He also promised to look into claims by Johnson’s widow Myeshia that she was denied permission to view her husband’s body in the casket.

The United States has close to 1,000 forces as part of a French-led mission helping African forces confront Islamic State and al-Qaida in West Africa.

Dunford says Islamic State will try to set up a presence in West Africa since being driven from Mosul in Iraq and Raqqa in Syria. He says U.S. operations are aimed at training local forces to make sure that does not happen.

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Catalonia: Not Your Normal Political Revolution

As far as political revolutions go the independence bid by Catalan separatists to tear away from Spain must rank as one of the most surreal in recent memory.

There are no Molotov cocktails or barricades or other trappings of insurgency. In fact, there is no geographical flashpoint — no Maidan or Tahrir Square.

But there are hordes of tourists thronging the alleys of the Gothic Quarter, sampling the flavors of Barcelona, a prosperous, sun-blessed city — and that despite a reported 20 percent drop in tourist numbers.

Wedged between the Mediterranean and the Montserrat, a multi-peaked mountain range, Barcelona boasts a unique cuisine combining fish and meat — from butifarra, uncured spiced sausage, to fideua, a seafood noodle paella. There’s a throbbing nightlife packing a party punch that attracts the world’s glitterati, and only gets going when most north Europeans are long in bed, ending as dawn breaks.

No change in pace

The tourism, as well as bustling shopping thoroughfares like the tree-lined kilometer-long La Rambla, offer a jarring backdrop to a political crisis that will have not only major repercussions for the Spanish and Catalans but also for a Europe fearful of other nationalisms unpicking the map of a continent that can ill afford volatile border disputes, which can quickly escalate with unforeseen consequences.

As the separatists of Spain’s restive northeast region and the politicians in Madrid traded threats this week, the manicured grounds of Catalonia’s parliament in Parc de la Ciutadella were full of school parties and adult tourist groups picking their way past television camera crews and reporters rehearsing on-air lines.

“Eleanor, stop feeding the pigeons,” a bearded, tanned British teacher shouted at one of his wayward teenage charges.

When asked by this reporter, whom he eyed with rising suspicion, if his British teenagers had expressed any opinions about the to-and-fro struggle between Catalan separatists and Madrid, he answered, “No.”

“We steer clear of that sort of thing,” he sniffed. He then broke off to scream again at his teenagers as they began to wander off, discarding their picnic boxes as they went and snapping selfies. “Girls. Where are you going?”

Nearby, crocodile lines of Catalan primary school kids twisted into the regional parliament, an imposing building, once a military arsenal, dating back to the 18th century.

Separatists have pledged to throw up walls of non-violent protesters to meet any squads of national police Madrid dispatches to shutter the parliament, possibly this weekend. Then, there will be no room for wayward picnicking teenagers or primary-school kids.

The imposition of direct rule by Madrid over rebellious Catalonia risks creating the very geographical flash-points the independence bid now lacks — the parliament and the region’s public broadcaster could quickly transform into Tahrir Squares, if Madrid is heavy-handed.

But for now there is nothing to suggest history is being made in Parc de la Ciutadella, except for loitering TV crews eager for a major development and a bit more swiftness to this drawn-out chess game of a political standoff. It is all a far cry from “La Pasionaria,” a Spanish Republican heroine of the Spanish civil war, and the international bridges.

For foreign news desks this stop-start crisis has been frustrating to cover. When to send in reporters and cameramen, and when to withdraw them has exercised editors, who fear not having a presence when something blows up, but are reluctant to waste money keeping crews on the ground when all is quiet.

Such questions aren’t worrying the tourists crowding the streets of the Gothic Quarter. Their biggest dilemma is which restaurant to pick. The most ubiquitous, echoing sound in the neighborhood’s narrow alleys is the clippety-clop of rolling luggage being heaved across paving stones.

A divided society

But for all of the sense of normality, behind the scenes in private Catalans are angry, alarmed and argumentative. The independence crisis has had real impact, especially in terms of dividing Catalan society — a polarization that starts at the kitchen table, throwing up issues of identity and pride.

“What can’t be forgotten is the effect the crisis has had within families and between friends. When old pals start throwing accusatory fingers at each other and politics is banned from family meals, you know you’ve got a problem, irrespective of what the politicians end up doing,” says Jaz Allen-Sutton, a British writer who lives in the countryside outside Barcelona.

The International media focuses more on the split between Catalonia and the rest of Spain. But the divide between Catalans is as wide.

For many there is real fear of the economic consequences of secession. Some Catalans have been transferring their bank accounts to other regions of Spain as a precaution, fearing what may befall their savings should Catalonia declare independence, which would mean exiting, despite the naive denials of separatist leaders, the European Union also.

“Separatists think everything will be so happy and perfect after we leave, but it won’t. We are going to have the euro or what? People are really afraid and they are going to the banks. I am worried about our money in the bank — tomorrow it may not be there,” says Alba, a mother of one.

Another surreal aspect of the independence crisis is how little serious debate there has been about the likely economic impact of secession — even less than in the run-up to Britain’s Brexit vote last year. Fearful of suddenly being outside the EU, more than a thousand businesses have relocated their headquarters outside Catalonia, including major banks.

The lack of economic debate is especially ironic considering the roots of this latest surge in Catalan nationalism can be found in the financial crash of 2008-2010. Catalonia may be prosperous, but not for all. The region has suffered from severe austerity cuts — and even before resources become more scarce many had already been left behind in the good times.

Swiss journalist Raphael Minder notes in a new book on Catalan rebel politics, “The Struggle for Catalonia,” that the ongoing Catalan separatist challenge is “without doubt linked to the financial crisis.” He adds: “The more scarce resources are, the more people tend to bolster their self-esteem through national pride.”

Many Catalans, though, are worried that pride can come before a fall.

 

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Serial Killer Fears: Area of Tampa on Edge After 3 Killings

Fears of a serial killer have police in Tampa escorting children to school in one neighborhood near downtown, and a city bus changed its usual route.

Three people have been shot to death in the past two weeks within a 1-mile (1.6-kilometer) radius in the normally quiet Seminole Heights neighborhood. Police believe the shootings are linked by proximity and time frame, but they don’t have a motive or a suspect.

The three victims did not know each other, but all three rode the bus and were alone when they were shot on the street. None were robbed.

“I’m afraid,” said Maria Maldonado, who lives near the scene of two of the shootings, about 300 yards apart. The other was less than a mile away.

Maldonado won’t let her 7-year-old son play in the yard.

“We don’t open the door or nothing. A lot of people are scared. I’m scared for my son, for the neighborhood,” she said Monday.

Seminole Heights is a working-class neighborhood northeast of downtown Tampa that’s slowly becoming gentrified. Run-down homes sit next to renovated, historic bungalows, and trendy restaurants have sprung up near auto body shops.

 

Residents and business owners say there are car burglaries and fights between kids, but they are not accustomed to anything like the violence that started Oct. 9.

Business owners report a downturn in recent days, as worried residents stay inside.

“We don’t know what’s next,” said Majed Foqahaa, owner of the M&M market.

He said two of the victims would come into the store and buy soda and snacks. Foqahaa said he has a concealed carry permit for a handgun, and he keeps it at the store while he is working. When he walks out to his car at night, he holds it in his hand.

Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn said the city has put dozens of officers in the area around the clock. The FBI and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives also are helping, he said.

“There aren’t a lot of facts, or evidence, yet,” Buckhorn said as he visited a block where one victim was killed. “But it’s not for lack of Tampa Police Department trying. We literally have put bodies out here by the dozens. We’re going to find this guy and we’re not leaving this neighborhood till we do.”

He was hesitant to use the word serial killer, but Tampa Police Chief Brian Dugan wasn’t.

“We can call it what we want. If that brings attention to this. … That’s fine,” he said.

Police said 22-year-old Benjamin Mitchell was the first person killed on Oct. 9. Two days later, 32-year-old Monica Hoffa was killed in a vacant lot. Anthony Naiboa, 20, was shot and killed Oct. 19.

Lula Mae Lewis, an 80-year-old woman who has lived in the area for 30 years, lives across the street from where Hoffa’s body was found.

“I heard the shots that Wednesday night,” she said. “But I was afraid to open my door because they were so loud, it sounded like it was just right here.”

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Thais Prepare for Final Goodbye to King  

Set amidst the depth of Thailand’s monsoon rainy season, more than a quarter of a million mourners are set to attend this week’s royal cremation of the country’s late and revered king, Bhumipol Adulyedaj.

King Bhumipol, 88, who died in October last year, has laid in state with almost 13 million mourners, often queuing for hours, paying their final respects to a monarch who reigned for 70 years.

In 2006 the world’s royalty celebrated Bhumipol’s 60th anniversary of royal accession. Now they come to mourn him. The ornate ceremonies, overseen by his son and heir, King Maha Vajiralongkorn, are being joined by kings and royalty from more than a dozen countries, including Britain, Japan, Bhutan, Lesotho, Sweden, and the Netherlands. 

International dignitaries from Asia, Europe, Africa and Australia are also attending. The United States, where Bhumipol was born in 1927, in Cambridge, Massachusetts, will be represented by Secretary of Defense James Mattis.

Gavan Butler, a political economist from Sydney University and past lecturer in Thailand, said King Bhumipol continues to be held in great affection across the generations.

“I hear young people in their 20’s and 30’s still talking about Bhumipol as ‘my king’ – a great affection – leave aside how that affection came to be constituted – but it’s there. They do talk about ‘my king’ and they will be profoundly sad on the occasion of the cremation,” Butler said.

The royal pavilions, known as the Phra Meru Mas, built by Thai artisans at a cost of $90 million, stands over 50 meters high, with its edifice on a three tiered square base, each side 60 meters length.

Ornate and elaborate, reflecting Hindu and Buddhist religious themes, the royal pavilion throne tapers up from the base into a highly decorated tiered roof topped by a spire. 

The main pavilion will house the catafalque for enshrining the royal urn made of sandalwood. 

The ceremonies

The formal ceremonies commence October 25, with the royal urn being transported to the Royal Crematorium. The final cremation ceremonies take place in the afternoon and evening of the following day with events continuing until October 29.

The week long ceremonies has cast a long shadow over the country, with October 26 declared an official holiday, with shopping centers, cinemas, entertainment venues, the financial markets and other institutions all closed. 

The ceremonies are taking place amid tight security, with over 50,000 police and volunteers on hand. Replicas of the royal crematorium are also in place in the more than 70 provinces in Thailand.

Carl Thayer, a political scientist at Australia’s University of New South Wales, said King Bhumipol played a central role in Thailand’s social and cultural landscape. 

“From a young man raised in part in the United States to the King of Thailand and what [analyst] Duncan McCargo calls the ‘center of the network monarchy’ where his moral and political authority was accepted by all the major actors in Thailand and in a sense he could exercise veto power over time,” Thayer said.

But analysts say King Vajiralongkorn faces major challenges to gain the degree of respect accorded to his late father, who held enormous prestige among the Thai people. 

Thailand has been under a military led government since a coup in early 2014, which analysts say was aimed at overseeing a smooth transition in the royal succession. 

Thitinan Pongsudhirak, a political scientist at Chulalongkorn University, in a recent commentary, said the past symbiotic relationship between the military, monarchy and bureaucracy, is less secure with the passing of King Bhumipol.

“What many Thais are waiting to see is how the new monarchy, King Maha Vajiralongkorn intends to reign,” Thitinan said. “The relationship between the new king and the [military] junta is thus crucial to understanding how Thailand’s new politics will unfold,” he said.

The Thai monarchy’s strength faces challenges and uncertainties as Thailand moves beyond the mourning period, said Martin Stuart Fox, a political scientist at Queensland University.

“[Bhumipol] was the longest serving monarch in Thai history. Therefore given the Buddhist world view endowed with some very good karma, the significance of this as a transition would lie in the shift from this stable monarchy under Bhumipol, despite all the military coups and so on, to a much more unstable and unpredictable future for Thailand,” he said. 

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